Sub-pillar · By state

Personal injury case value by state.

Case value is jurisdiction-specific — the same injury resolves differently from one state to the next, because verdict and settlement history varies by jurisdiction. Predict tunes the number to your state and county, trained on that state's own cases. Supported in 17 states, with deep per-state pages for the densest cohorts below.

4 densest cohorts · deep pages

These 4 states carry the densest comparable cohorts, so we publish a full per-state breakdown for each. Pick one for its dataset and a free, jurisdiction-tuned prediction. Predict supports 17 states in total — the full list is below.

Supported in 17 states

Every state Predict covers today

Predict returns a calibrated, confidence-banded number in every state below. Motor-vehicle cases are supported in all 17; premises liability in 12 of them. The four densest cohorts have a full per-state breakdown above.

All 17 states support motor vehicle; 12 of them also support premises liability — the five MVA-only states are marked. The four highlighted states have a full per-state breakdown above.

Why case value is jurisdiction-specific

The injury and its severity are the single largest driver of case value, with the direct damages — medical costs, lost wages, property damage — close behind. But the same injury resolves differently across states: each jurisdiction has its own verdict and settlement history, its own juries, and its own venues. A model that averaged across states would be wrong in every one of them.

That is why Predict trains a separate jurisdiction fold for each supported state and, where the data allows, each county. The number is tuned to how cases like yours actually resolve where you would file — not to a national average. It is trained on real verdicts and reported settlements: hundreds to thousands of comparable cases per state, drawn from a corpus of over 20,000 precedent cases.

On a held-out test set the model never trained on, Predict's valuations hold 90 to 92% median accuracy (MdAPE) on higher-value cases, each shown with its 90% confidence band. Every number is a gross case value — before attorney fees, case costs, and medical liens. See the accuracy results and the per-state calibration →

See your own jurisdiction. Pick a deep-page state above, or predict your specific case in about 60 seconds, free.
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Why these states have deep pages first

Confidence bands narrow as the comparable cohort grows, so we lead with the states where the data is deepest. Texas, Florida, California, and New York carry the densest cohorts — with county-level folds in their highest-volume venues — and the tightest bands, so each gets a full per-state breakdown. The rest of the supported states predict in-product today, and each earns its own deep page as its cohort grows. We would rather widen the band, or wait, than publish a confident number the data cannot support.