Predict for MVA attorneys.
A jurisdiction-tuned gross case value for motor vehicle accident cases — rear-end, soft-tissue, intersection, commercial vehicle, wrongful death. Calibrated specifically to a held-out MVA fold at 88–92% median accuracy (MdAPE) on higher-value cases.
Henderson v. Acme Transport
Top comparable verdicts
| Case | Court | Similarity | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Garza v. Houston Freight LLC Rear-end · cervical · moderate | Harris Co. · 2024 | 0.96 | $512,000 |
| Patel v. Texas Coach Low-speed rear-end · cervical | Harris Co. · 2024 | 0.91 | $478,000 |
| Williams v. Bayou Trucking Rear-end · soft tissue | Harris Co. · 2023 | 0.88 | $465,000 |
| Nguyen v. Lone Star Delivery Low-speed rear-end · whiplash | Harris Co. · 2023 | 0.85 | $498,000 |
| Ramirez v. State Logistics Rear-end · cervical disc | Fort Bend · 2024 | 0.82 | $442,000 |
Case facts
Quick actions
Export demand letter → Run sensitivity analysis → Flag for partner review →The MVA case is where the carrier playbook is sharpest.
Soft-tissue rear-end with mid-five-figure med-specials is the case carriers value against an internal model every day. The plaintiff attorney working from gut + PD photos is bringing instinct to a fight that's been quantified for a decade.
Anchored to property damage
Crumpled bumper → "soft case." Light contact → "lowball." The PD photo is a poor proxy for the soft-tissue cohort that actually drives case value in your jurisdiction.
Anchored to comparable verdicts
Comparable MVA verdicts and settlements from the same jurisdiction and same injury severity tier — cohorts that run into the hundreds. The band is wide when the cohort is thin and tight when it's deep — the methodology is the answer to "how do you know?"
One number, no range
"Probably worth around $80K." The carrier hears a single number with no methodology; the demand letter reads as a guess. The first offer comes in at $32K and the negotiation starts in the wrong half of the distribution.
A defensible band
A gross case value with a 90% confidence band, cited to same-jurisdiction rear-end comparables at the matched injury severity. The demand letter Predict drafts ships with the band and the cohort, not the gut.
Trained on motor vehicle accidents specifically.
The corpus is filtered for MVA before the model is calibrated — the MVA fold is the larger, denser of the two. No premises, no products, no malpractice noise.
On the held-out MVA fold, predictions land within 88–92% median accuracy on higher-value cases (median absolute percentage error). Measured on a held-out MVA test set the model never trained on, from the 2018–2025 verdict window. See the accuracy results →
A typical MVA prediction is grounded in hundreds of same-jurisdiction, same-severity comparables — per-state MVA cohorts run from the high hundreds into the thousands. The band widens when fewer are available — never silently.
Where the numbers come from, and how you can check them.
The settlement and verdict data is plaintiff-side only. Every record is drawn from publicly available verdict and settlement filings, plaintiff-side reported settlements, and PACER docket extracts, then filtered to MVA before the model is calibrated. No claims-side or carrier data is used in training, and none ever will be.
The held-out results are published, not asserted. We show the training data, the model architecture, the train/test split, and the held-out accuracy on the MVA fold, including how the band behaves when the comparable cohort is thin. See the accuracy results →
A defensible value at every stage of the case.
The case-selection decision on an MVA case happens at minute four of the intake call, and Predict produces a confidence-banded case value in 60 seconds. But the same valuation follows the case forward — sharpening as the police report and medical records arrive, anchoring the demand letter, and pricing the first-offer counter through settlement. Intake is one moment, not the only one. The same number carries the whole way.
The output is a number, a band, a jurisdiction tag, and the comparable cohort — a gross case value before attorney fees, case costs, and medical liens. It is the same valuation that survives a partner second-opinion or a paralegal handoff: same number, same methodology, every time.
See how it works →Where Predict fits in an MVA workflow.
If you already license a verdict-search database, the difference is what happens after retrieval. A verdict database gives you the comparable cases. Predict scores their similarity, weights them to your jurisdiction and injury severity, and returns a calibrated value with a confidence band, so you cite a defensible number instead of a stack of comps you still have to value by hand. Predict vs. a verdict-search database →
Run one MVA case through Predict.
Enter one MVA case and get a confidence-banded case value in about a minute — a gross figure, before attorney fees, case costs, and medical liens. No signup to start, and the first prediction is free.
After that, Predict is $499 per seat / month for unlimited predictions, a full demand letter drafted in your firm's style, and the full comparable cohort behind every number. Single tier, monthly billing, 14-day free trial with $0 charged today, cancel any time.